I don't think it's doom and gloom as such, it's more that people are being realistic and cautious because they don't want another wave to hit Italy.
It's nice to see some cautious optimism, though, and hopefully things will not take a backward step covid wise as more businesses reopen.
I agree with RojBlake.
However, it's not if, but when.
According to the infectious specialist Mr. Bassetti, the fourth virus wave in Italy will be in October - November 2021. Anyway, thanks to the vaccines, the new virus outbreak will only produce little damages. We must learn to live with the virus and learn to vaccinate people.
From the link, the Director of Infectious Diseases of the San Martino Hospital of Genoa Matteo Bassetti says, "On the vaccine front, due to shortcomings, it is necessary to buy them at non-European level: there are millions of vaccines of all brands available from tomorrow. Just have the will and the ability to buy them. It is now necessary to proceed with many first doses to more people over 65 years of age possible, moving the second dose (English tactics) much further up to 42 days and more for Pfizer and over 3-4 months for AstraZeneca."
"We must also try to liberalise vaccines, to give the opportunity to buy more from the non-European market."
If Italy is able to fully vaccinate at least 60% of eligible persons by early October, the "fourth waive" this autumn should be manageable. I am hopeful that this will be possible.
This is the current vaccination situation in Italy:
I am sorry but I don't really know.
I can make a guess and I think Bassetti is referring to Sputnik V
This online, real time calculator indicates the dates when Italy's vaccination campaign should be complete, based on the number of vaccinations completed in the past 7 days (you can increase or decrease this number), and based on the percentage of population to be vaccinated (you can also increase or decrease this factor).
Hence, for example, 60% of the population, vaccinated at the CURRENT rate over the past 7 days, should be fully vaccinated by November 4, 2021, 65% by November 25, 70% by December 16, and 75% by January 6, 2022.
You can also see how many daily vaccinations would be needed in order to vaccinate a certain percentage of the population by the end of each month in the future.
You can also calculate the data on a region-by-region basis, by selecting the region from the dropdown menu in the first pink box.
Each pink box in the calculator has a drop down menu to change the parameters of the calculations.
Is Italy happy taking the Sputnik V vaccine? It uses similar technology to the Oxford AZ and J&J vaccines. "The vaccine has been heavily criticised for opacity over trial data and administration numbers and deaths. Sputnik, like AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson, leverages viral vector technology."
"Argentine President Alberto Fernández, vaccinated in January with the Russian vaccine Sputnik V, announced on Twitter that he was positive for the virus."
There seems to be a bit of skulduggery in Slovakia with Sputnik V. Also from Raffaele's link. "Prime Minister Igor Matovic resigned after the controversy following the purchase of 2 million doses of the Russian vaccine never used. The vials delivered to the Government of Bratislava would not contain the vaccine that had been evaluated in positive terms at the beginning of February...Moscow responded by calling Slovakia's 'an act of sabotage' developed through 'fake news'."
Chile is experiencing a third wave of Covid and new lockdowns after its apparent vaccination success with the Chinese vaccine. "The number of daily cases reached a new record high on 9 April...More than 93% of the doses administered in Chile so far have been CoronaVac, produced by the Beijing-based biopharmaceutical company Sinovac. Data on the efficacy of the CoronaVac vaccine is varied. Brazilian trials suggested an efficacy rate of around 50.4% but results from late-stage trials in Indonesia and Turkey suggested a much higher rate - between 65% and 83%."
I've had the Oxford AZ vaccine and I'm fine as are 20 million people in the UK who have also had it. The other vaccine used is Pfizer and together they've led to a 92% decrease in cases which is still showing a downward trend with just 10 deaths yesterday. About 19 people have died from blood clots which may, or may not, be due to the AZ vaccine. Good luck.
"I don't think it's doom and gloom as such, it's more that people are being realistic and cautious because they don't want another wave to hit Italy."
That's me. Few people in the world have been locked down quite so hard and for anywhere near as long as we have here and memories of the over-speedy re-opening last summer and its terrible consequences a few months later are still vivid in people's minds.
Then, unlike where you may live, we possibly have a disproportionately higher number of vulnerable people within our communities. Italy is blessed with one of the best life expectancies in the world - for women especially - but with Covid comes a downside. Not everyone either can or wants to be vaccinated, many multi-generational households are "shielding" family members who still want to lead some sort of an active life but know catching the virus could be fatal.
As with everyone else, I'm praying constantly for a return to normality but not at any price.